ESPN updates chances of victory in Ohio State's remaining games after Week 3

Here we go again. We like to keep tabs every week on what the ESPN Matchup Predictor says about Ohio State football’s chances of winning each remaining game on its schedule.

The Buckeyes’ performance each week, as well as the tape that other teams put up, go into some sort of secret sauce formula driven by the ESPN FPI.

As we get further along in the season, the games matter more and more, and with fewer games to look at,

it’s interesting to see how the chances of winning each individual game go up or down based on the body of work Ohio State and all of the teams on its schedule display.

Has Michigan closed the gap, how have things moved for the game at Penn State?

How did Michigan State’s loss change things? They are all good questions.

Here’s what the ESPN matchup predictor says about Ohio State football’s chances of winning each game remaining on its 2022 schedule.

Saturday, Sept. 24, vs. Wisconsin Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 89.0% (down from 93.5% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 61-18-5 Projected running record: 4-0

Saturday, Oct. 1. vs. Rutgers Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 97.6% (up from 97.2% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 8-0 Projected running record: 5-0

Saturday, Oct. 8, at Michigan State Spartan Stadium (East Lansing, Michigan) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 79.1% (up from 76.3% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 35-15 Projected running record: 6-0

Saturday, Oct. 22, vs. Iowa Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 95.4% (down from 96.5% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 46-15-3 Projected running record: 7-0

Saturday, Oct. 29, at Penn State Beaver Stadium (State College, Pennsylvania) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 68.8% (down from 78.1% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 22-14 Projected running record: 8-0

Saturday, Nov. 5, at Northwestern Ryan Field (Evanston, Illinois) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 98.0% (up from 96.6% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 64-14-1 Projected running record: 9-0

Saturday, Nov. 12, vs. Indiana Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 97.8% (down from 98.0% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 77-12-5 Projected running record: 10-0

Saturday, Nov. 19, at Maryland Maryland Stadium (College Park, Maryland) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 84.7% (down from 86.5% last week) All-Time Series: OSU leads 7-0 Projected running record: 11-0

Saturday, Nov. 26, vs. Michigan Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio) Predicted Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes Win Probability: 73.4% (down from 79.5% last week) All-Time Series: OSU trails 51-59-6 Projected Final Regular Season record: 12-0

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